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Causal & Counterfactual Modeling

Causal inference systems for understanding cause-effect relationships, counterfactual reasoning, and intervention planning in complex AI-driven decisions.

Transport, Logistics & Supply Chain
Supply Chain AI • Procurement Bias • Explainability

AI procurement systems favor large suppliers over minority-owned businesses by 3.5:1. Meanwhile, 77% of supply chain AI operates as a total black box. 📦

3.5:1
AI procurement bias favoring large suppliers over minority-owned businesses
Enterprise Supply Chain AI Audit
23%
Of logistics AI systems provide meaningful decision explainability
Supply Chain Leaders Survey
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The Deterministic Imperative

Enterprise AI procurement systems encode structural supplier bias at a 3.5:1 ratio while 77% of logistics AI provides zero decision explainability — black-box automation at enterprise scale.

WRAPPER DELUSION ERODES TRUST

Enterprise AI procurement systems trained on historical data perpetuate supplier bias while 77% of logistics AI operates as an opaque black box. LLM wrappers hallucinate non-existent discounts and lack audit trails for error prevention.

NEURO-SYMBOLIC DETERMINISM
  • Citation-enforced GraphRAG querying proprietary knowledge graphs for verified source truth decisions
  • Constrained decoding that mathematically restricts output to domain-specific ontologies and fairness rules
  • Structural causal models replacing correlation with counterfactual reasoning for bias elimination
  • Private sovereign models on client infrastructure with zero external dependencies and full lifecycle ownership
Neuro-Symbolic AIGraphRAGCausal InferenceConstrained DecodingKnowledge Graphs
Read Interactive Whitepaper →Read Technical Whitepaper →
Retail & Consumer
Ethical AI • Dark Patterns • Consumer Protection

Epic Games paid $245 million — the largest FTC fine in history — for tricking Fortnite players into accidental purchases with a single button press. 🎮

$245M
Largest FTC dark pattern settlement against Epic Games for deceptive billing
FTC Administrative Order, 2023
15-20%
Of customers are genuinely "persuadable" where retention intervention works
Causal Retention Analysis
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The Ethical Frontier of Retention

AI-driven retention systems weaponize dark patterns — multi-step cancellation flows and deceptive UI — replacing value-driven engagement with algorithmic friction that now triggers record FTC enforcement.

DARK PATTERNS DESTROY TRUST

The FTC's Click-to-Cancel rule ended the era of dark-pattern growth. Enterprises using labyrinthine cancellation flows or AI agents deploying emotional shaming are eroding trust equity essential for long-term value and facing regulatory enforcement.

ALGORITHMIC ACCOUNTABILITY ENGINE
  • Causal inference models distinguishing correlation from causation to identify true retention drivers
  • RLHF alignment pipeline training agents on clarity and helpfulness while eliminating shaming patterns
  • Automated multimodal compliance auditing across voice, text, and UI interaction channels
  • Ethical retention segmentation identifying persuadable customers for resource-efficient intervention
Causal AIRLHF AlignmentCompliance AuditingEthical AIRetention Science
Read Interactive Whitepaper →Read Technical Whitepaper →
Healthcare & Life Sciences
Healthcare Insurance AI & Algorithmic Governance

UnitedHealth's AI denied elderly patients' care with a 90% error rate. Only 0.2% of victims could fight back. 💀

90%
of AI-driven coverage denials reversed when patients actually appealed
Senate PSI / Lokken v. UHC
0.2%
of denied elderly patients who managed to navigate the appeals process
UHC Class Action Filing
View details

The Governance Frontier

UnitedHealth's nH Predict algorithm weaponized 'administrative friction' to systematically deny Medicare patients' coverage, exploiting the gap between algorithmic speed and patients' ability to appeal.

ALGORITHMIC COERCION

UnitedHealth acquired the nH Predict algorithm for over $1B and used it to slash post-acute care approvals. Skilled nursing denials surged 800% while denial rates jumped from 10% to 22.7%. Case managers were forced to keep within 1% of algorithm projections or face termination.

CAUSAL EXPLAINABLE AI
  • Replace correlation-driven black boxes with Causal AI modeling why patients need extended care
  • Deploy SHAP and LIME to surface exact variables driving each coverage decision
  • Implement confidence scoring flagging low-certainty predictions for mandatory human review
  • Align with FDA's 7-step credibility framework requiring Context of Use and validation
Causal AIExplainable AI (XAI)SHAP / LIMEConfidence ScoringFDA Credibility Framework
Read Interactive Whitepaper →Read Technical Whitepaper →

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Veriprajna Deep Tech Consultancy specializes in building safety-critical AI systems for healthcare, finance, and regulatory domains. Our architectures are validated against established protocols with comprehensive compliance documentation.